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Seminar registration
Date and venue Time: 14-15 April 2010 Venue: Hotel Bristol. Oslo Address: Kristian IV's gate 7, 0164 Oslo Phone: +47 22 82 60 00 Web: www.bristol.no
Price: Conference and dinner: NOK 10.890
The price for the whole event includes conference, documentation, lunch and dinner.
VAT is not included in the price.
Accommodation The organizer have reserved several accommodation rooms at the conference hotel.
Price per night is 1.595 NOK.
Information If you have any questions, please contact Morten Hegna, Montel AS
e-mail:
morten.hegna@montel.no |
Nordic price trends & energy market dynamics
Key
sessions:
- The hydrological balance
and scenarios for the spring thaw
Programme
Wednesday 14 April 2010
09.20-09.30 Welcome Morten Hegna, Chairman, Montel
09.30-09.45 Energy markets summary from late 2009 and well into 2010 Olav Vilnes, Editor, Montel
09.45-10.25 The latest developments in the North-West European gas market. What about the coming spring and summer? Terje Lundby, Senior Gas Analyst, Statkraft Energi AS
Terje Lundby is Senior Gas Analyst at Statkraft Energi AS in Oslo. Statkraft is Europe's largest renewable energy company. The Group develops and generates hydropower, wind power, gas power and district heating, and is a major player on the European power exchanges. Statkraft also develops marine energy, osmotic power, solar power, and other innovative energy solutions.
1030-11.15 Oil market: Key price driving mechanisms for 2010 Arnstein Wigestrand, Oil Analyst, Enskilda Securities
Arnstein Wigestrand joined SEB Enskilda as financial analyst (oil) in January 2003. He came from a similar position at Svenska Handelsbanken Markets, where he started in 2000. Previously he worked in the oil industry; as head of Saga Petroleum’s oil market research and trading since 1990 and several positions in Statoil’s Refining and Marketing division as well as in the Exploration division during the 1980s. Arnstein is M.SC in Engineering from NIT (Norwegian Institute of Technology) and an MBA-equivalent from IFP (L’Institut Francais de Petrole)
Morning coffee
11.40-12.10 Coal and Freight: An update on Asian economic developments and the impact on European power Hans Gunnar Nåvik, Senior Analyst, Nena
Hans Gunnar Nåvik is Senior Analyst at Nena and Master of Science in Engineering from NTNU. Former Director of Risk Management and Trading at Drammen Kraft AS. Established Nena February 1997. Nena builds systems and methods with strong emphasis on a combination of economic theory, market models, and marginal cost calculations. The flexibility in the models makes it easy to incorporate and model of changes to input factors such as fuel prices and CO2 emission costs. The approach to price forecasting relies on basic supply and demand models. Nena develops detailed models for weather impacts and all aspects affecting the fundamental balance of the energy markets.
12.10-12.40 Global gas: More relevant for Europe than ever before! Karen Sund, Managing Director, Sund Energy.
Karen is the founder of Sund Energy AS. She is an international petroleum economist with more than 20 years experience in the energy business. She has extensive consulting experience, especially focusing on commercial and strategic gas issues. Sund Energy is a specialised energy consulting company, providing strategic and commercial support in the area of gas, power and CCS SUND Energy supports a wide range of energy projects from major energy players to single projects. We deliver insights and analysis, designing strategies, business models and investments robust to uncertain future developments.
12.45-14.00 Lunch
14.00-14.30 Production capacities, regulation and physical exchange in the Nordics Anders Kringstad, Statnett
Statnett is the Transmission System Operator (TSO) of the Norwegian electric power system.
14.30-15.10 The hydrological balance and scenarios for the spring thaw Professor Ånund Killingtveit, NTNU
Ånund Killingtveit is Professor at the Department of Hydraulic and Environmental Engineering, Faculty of Engineering Science and Technology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology - NTNU. Professor Killingtveit interests and research activities can be divided into three main groups: 1) Mathematical models in Hydrology. 2) Cold Climate Hydrology and 3) Integrated Water Resources planning in Developing Countries.
Afternoon coffee
15.40-16.10 Wind Power in the Nordic Power Market - challenges towards 2020 Søren Klinge, Economist, Energinet.dk
Søren Klinge is Economist at Energinet.dk in Denmark. Energinet.dk is an independent public enterprise. As the owner of the main electricity and natural gas grids in Denmark Energinet.dk maintains security of supply and ensure efficient electricity and gas markets. Energinet.dk also integrate renewable energy into the power system.
16.10-16.40 Nordic nuclear power availability and impact on market prices Antti Koskelainen, Managing Director, Suomen ElFi Oy
Antti Koskelainen is Managing Director at Suomen ElFi Oy. Suomen ElFi Oy is a significant actor in the power market that provides its owners with additional value by having an influence on the operation of the market. The company implements project entities that improve cost-efficiency of energy acquisition in addition to supervising the interests of associates in the power market. The owners of Suomen ElFi Oy are significant Finnish companies and consumers of electricity in the fields of industry, business and services. The total electricity consumption of owners in Finland is over 13,5 TWh/a that comprises approximately 15 % of the total electricity consumption of Finland.
17.00-17.30 Refreshments and Montel Online
19.00 Dinner
Thursday 15 April
09.30-10.00 Short term hourly price forecasting in the Nordic market. Eylert Ellefsen, Head of Analysis, Markedskraft
Eylert Ellefsen is Head of Analysis at Markedskraft in Arendal, Norway. Markedskraft is an independent provider of services to players in the Nordic and European wholesale market for electricity. They are the only independent service provider who can assist throughout the entire value chain including fundamental market analysis, advisory services, risk management, financial portfolio management and physical handling and settlement. Markedskraft also offers investors capital management within power derivatives.
10.00-10.30 Recent achievements in Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming. Medium term price scenarios for the Nordic Power Market. Torjus Bolkesjø, Senior Analyst, Point Carbon
Torjus Bolkesjø is Senior Analyst in Point Carbon. Point Carbon is a world-leading provider of independent news, analysis and consulting services for European and global power, gas and carbon markets. Point Carbon’s comprehensive services provide professionals with market-moving information through monitoring fundamental information, key market players and business and policy developments.
Morning coffee
11.00-12.00 Session on transparency and competition Participants: Hans Randen, Nord Pool Spot, Kjetil Holm, EGL Nordic, Jonas Melin, Markedskraft
12.00-13.00 Lunch
13.10-14.40 Risk management alternatives for energy portfolios Professor Gunnar Stensland, NHH and Viz Risk Management
Gunnar Stensland is Professor at NHH, Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration. His teaching areas are investments, risk management and derivatives. In addition Professor Stensland is Partner in Viz Risk Management. Viz Risk Management is developing risk management systems for the energy markets. Well-proven systems help clients to manage risk in a consistent manner and stay competitive in today's volatile energy markets. Most of the systems are bundled in the Elviz ETRM package and supports the trading of electricity, gas, coal, emission and currencies.
14.40-15.00 Summary and closing of seminar
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